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Volcanic Eruption at Öræfajökull Poses Risks to Air Travel Across Europe

A significant volcanic event at Öræfajökull could potentially disrupt European air traffic for extending periods, as outlined by a research team at the University of Iceland.

Europe-wide Air Traffic Disruption Possible from Öræfajökull Volcanic Eruption
Europe-wide Air Traffic Disruption Possible from Öræfajökull Volcanic Eruption

Volcanic Eruption at Öræfajökull Poses Risks to Air Travel Across Europe

News Article: Potential Eruption of Öræfajökull Volcano Could Disrupt European Air Traffic

Öræfajökull, an ice-covered volcano located in southeast Iceland, has erupted twice since Iceland's settlement and poses a significant risk to European air traffic due to the potential production of volcanic ash clouds.

Situated within Vatnajökull national park, Öræfajökull lies within an area known as Öræfi, which translates to wasteland. This active volcano, covered by ice, has a history of causing widespread disruption, as seen in its 1362 eruption that destroyed a district called Litla-Hérað and sent volcanic ash as far as western Europe.

In the event of an eruption, the ash clouds produced by Öræfajökull could cause engine failure or damage to aircraft, force rerouting or grounding of flights, and lead to extended cancellations and delays. The 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption serves as a stark reminder of the widespread flight cancellations and airspace closures that can result from volcanic ash.

Recent activity at Öræfajökull has primarily been limited to lava flows and ash pollution locally in Iceland. However, a major eruption could escalate these effects significantly, potentially causing temporary widespread air traffic disruption across Europe, particularly in the North and West. Winds blowing southeast from Iceland typically carry ash towards Northern and Western Europe, affecting key flight corridors.

Dr. Reichardt's research indicates that the effects of an Öræfajökull eruption could even reach across the North Atlantic. In such a scenario, alternative plans for transporting passengers and goods may be necessary, with roads, rail, and sea passages potentially used to reduce inconvenience and economic loss.

It is important to note that there are currently no signs of an imminent eruption at Öræfajökull. However, there has been unrest detected close to ten months ago, and the level of earthquake activity has been stable for the last few months, with signs that the earthquakes are becoming smaller with time.

Given the potential risks, it is crucial to monitor volcanic activity at Öræfajökull closely for early warnings and to mitigate impacts on European air travel. Furthermore, a communal effort of different sectors is needed in anticipation of what lies ahead, and for establishing alternative contingency plans.

Sources:

  1. Hydrological and geochemical measurements show stable values.
  2. Ořefajökull is an ice-covered volcano in South East Iceland, located within the Vatnajökull national park and covered by the glacier.
  3. Ořefajökull lies within an area now known as Öræfi, which means wasteland.
  4. Measurements in late March indicate that the geothermal heat output beneath the cauldron has diminished significantly from what it was when the cauldron formed.
  5. The risk management infrastructure that is based on the parameters of the events in 2010 can provide a false sense of security to the industry and to other sectors.
  6. The eruption in 1362 caused the destruction of a district known as Litla-Hérað and volcanic ash traveled as far as to western Europe.
  7. If the Öræfajökull volcano were to erupt, air traffic across Europe could face significant disruptions primarily due to volcanic ash clouds that Icelandic eruptions typically produce.
  8. Historical precedent from Icelandic eruptions such as Eyjafjallajökull in 2010 showed widespread flight cancellations and airspace closures throughout Europe due to safety risks posed by volcanic ash to aircraft engines.
  9. Though the recent activity mentioned in sources primarily pertained to lava flows and ash pollution locally in Iceland, a major eruption of Öræfajökull could escalate these effects significantly.
  10. Winds blowing southeast from Iceland typically carry ash towards Northern and Western Europe, affecting key flight corridors.
  11. Volcanic ash clouds can cause engine failure or damage to aircraft, force rerouting or grounding of flights, and lead to extended cancellations and delays.
  12. The 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption serves as a stark reminder of the widespread flight cancellations and airspace closures that can result from volcanic ash.
  13. Dr. Reichardt's study indicates that the effects of the eruption in the Öræfajökull scenario could even reach across the North Atlantic.
  14. Dr. Reichardt suggests that an alternative plan is needed for when aircrafts cannot take off and transportation of passengers and goods needs to be transferred to roads, rail, and sea passages to reduce inconvenience and economic loss.
  15. Dr. Reichardt's research reveals that the measures taken so far by the aviation sector are likely to "prepare [it] for the last eruption."
  16. Dr. Reichardt's study suggests that an Eyjafjallajoekull eruption scenario would primarily impact air traffic at low altitudes, affecting take-offs and landings.
  17. There are no signs of an imminent eruption, but there has been unrest detected close to ten months ago.
  18. The level of earthquake activity at Ořefajökull has been stable for the last months, with signs that the earthquakes are becoming smaller with time.
  19. An eruption of Ořefajökull would affect flights at all altitudes and halt all air traffic for several days, with the total impact on air traffic as a result of cancellations and rescheduling continuing for 2-3 weeks.
  20. The most recent eruption of Eyjafjallajoekull began in 1821 and continued until January 1823, or nearly 14 months.
  21. The second scenario, an eruption in Ořefajökull, is based on the volcano's eruption in 1362, one of the largest eruptions in Iceland since the settlement.
  22. At this time, the geothermal activity beneath Ořefajökull was assessed to be high relative to previous decades.
  23. The unrest was apparent from elevated seismicity, the development of a depression in the ice-surface (cauldron) within the caldera, and the presence of geothermal gases from a glacial river.
  24. Ořefajökull has erupted twice in historical times, in 1362 and in 1728.
  25. There is a need for a communal effort of different sectors in anticipation of what lies ahead and for establishing alternative contingency plans.
  26. Scientists are closely monitoring the Öræfajökull volcano in Iceland due to the potential disruption to European air traffic caused by volcanic ash clouds.
  27. The Öræfajökull volcano, located within Vatnajökull national park, has a history of wiping out districts and sending ash as far as western Europe, as seen in the 1362 eruption.
  28. If Öræfajökull were to erupt, it could cause engine failure or damage to aircraft, leading to flight cancellations, delays, and rerouting across Europe.
  29. The 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption is a stark reminder of the widespread flight cancellations and airspace closures that can result from volcanic ash.
  30. Recent activity at Öræfajökull has mainly consisted of lava flows and ash pollution within Iceland, but a major eruption could lead to significant air traffic disruption across Europe.
  31. Winds blowing from Iceland typically blow ash towards Northern and Western Europe, affecting important flight corridors.
  32. As demonstrated by historical Icelandic eruptions, volcanic ash can cause extended cancellations and delays in air traffic, forcing rerouting and grounding of flights.
  33. Dr. Reichardt's research suggests that the effects of an Öræfajökull eruption could even reach across the North Atlantic, necessitating alternative transportation options like roads, rail, and sea passages.
  34. Though there are currently no signs of an imminent eruption, the level of earthquake activity has been stable for the last few months, with signs that the earthquakes are becoming smaller with time.
  35. In anticipation of potential volcanic activity, it's crucial to develop early warning systems and contingency plans for mitigating the impacts on European air traffic.
  36. A communal effort among different sectors is needed to prepare for an eruption and establish alternative transportation options to reduce inconvenience and economic loss.
  37. It's important to avoid relying solely on the measures taken by the aviation sector, as the 2010 eruption risk management infrastructure might provide a false sense of security.
  38. A major eruption of Öræfajökull would affect flights at all altitudes, leading to a halt in all air traffic for several days and prolonged disruptions for up to 2-3 weeks.
  39. Öræfajökull has erupted twice in historical times, in 1362 and 1728, with the 1362 eruption being one of the largest in Iceland since the settlement.
  40. The geothermal activity beneath Öræfajökull varies, as demonstrated by the high activity levels in the 1821-1823 eruption and more recent unrest detected close to ten months ago.
  41. The unrest detected near Öræfajökull was apparent from seismic activity, the development of a depression in the ice surface, and the presence of geothermal gases from a glacial river.
  42. In addition to monitoring the immediate impact on air traffic, it's essential to assess the long-term effects of an Öræfajökull eruption on health, finance, and other sectors, such as climate change, environment, and general news.
  43. Additionally, the potential eruption of Öræfajökull could have implications for the health-and-wellness, lifestyle, and personal-finance sectors, as well as data-and-cloud-computing and technology industries.
  44. As the eruption risk increases, so too does the potential for widespread economic and travel disruption, emphasizing the importance of investing in contingency plans and alternative transportation options.
  45. Lastly, the potential eruption of Öræfajökull could have broader impacts on markets and businesses, underscoring the need for the business and finance sectors to be prepared for any potential disruptions in air traffic and transportation.

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